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Home Health

WHO warns against comparing Covid to flu because it’s still ‘very nasty’ and ‘full of surprises’

4 months ago
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David Nabarro, the WHO’s particular envoy for Covid, has warned in opposition to evaluating Covid to flu

The World Well being Group at the moment warned in opposition to evaluating Covid to flu – simply days after the UK Authorities mentioned it supposed to deal with the 2 viruses the identical.

David Nabarro, the WHO’s particular envoy for Covid, mentioned the comparisons had been irresponsible as a result of they recommend coronavirus ‘has all of the sudden acquired extremely weak’.

He advised Sky Information: ‘It could actually additionally mutate and kind variants and we have seen a number of however we all know there are extra not distant. 

‘So fairly actually, we aren’t saying that this needs to be thought-about to be like flu or certainly like the rest — it is a new virus, and we should go on treating it as if it is filled with surprises, very nasty and moderately crafty.’ 

The official referred to as on leaders to ‘keep centered on the job’ as he claimed we had been solely on the ‘midway mark’ of the pandemic. 

Parallels between coronavirus and influenza are being drawn within the UK now that Omicron is inflicting across the similar variety of deaths as a foul flu season.    

Boris Johnson final week signalled his intention to carry isolation guidelines for Covid victims, highlighting that folks with flu do not legally must quarantine. 

And Well being Secretary Sajid Javid pointed to the UK’s falling case numbers and comparatively low hospital charges as he mentioned ‘we have to be taught to stay with Covid in the identical method we have now to stay with flu’. 

Requested in regards to the comparisons, Dr Nabarro advised Sky Information: ‘I maintain questioning what the individuals who make these superb predictions know that I and my colleagues within the WHO do not know.

‘You see, what persons are seeing from world wide and reporting to the WHO is that is nonetheless a really, very harmful virus, particularly for individuals who haven’t been vaccinated and who’ve not been uncovered to it earlier than.’ 

The warning in opposition to complacency got here because the UK’s coronavirus circumstances rose for the primary time in additional than two weeks.

Parallels between coronavirus and influenza are being drawn in the UK now that Omicron is causing around the same number of deaths as a bad flu season. The UK Health Security Agency estimates the number of flu deaths was around 15,000 in 2016/17, with about 300 people dying every day at the peak. In 2017/18, during the Aussie flu outbreak, a total of 22,000 people were killed by influenza, with in excess of 400 dying per day at the worst of the epidemic. But in 2018/19 just 4,000 were estimated to have died to the virus, with just tens of people dying per day at the peak

Parallels between coronavirus and influenza are being drawn within the UK now that Omicron is inflicting across the similar variety of deaths as a foul flu season. The UK Well being Safety Company estimates the variety of flu deaths was round 15,000 in 2016/17, with about 300 individuals dying each day on the peak. In 2017/18, throughout the Aussie flu outbreak, a complete of twenty-two,000 individuals had been killed by influenza, with in extra of 400 dying per day on the worst of the epidemic. However in 2018/19 simply 4,000 had been estimated to have died to the virus, with simply tens of individuals dying per day on the peak

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One other 74,799 optimistic checks had been recorded on Sunday, marking a 5 per cent enhance on the quantity final week.

The disaster had been in retreat since January 5 after Omicron despatched each day infections to document ranges, peaking at greater than 218,000. 

Coronavirus circumstances go UP for the primary time in additional than two weeks: 74,799 catch virus 

 Britain’s Covid circumstances have risen with a complete of 74,799 new circumstances reported at the moment.

Division of Well being bosses reported an extra circumstances 74,799 circumstances at the moment, a rise of three,875 on the overall variety of circumstances reported final Sunday. 

In the meantime, official figures present there was a complete of 75 deaths reported at the moment which marked a decline of 14 per cent on final week when there have been 88 Covid deaths reported.

It marks the primary time the variety of Covid circumstances has gone up for the primary time since January 4 when officers reported a 57 per cent enhance following the festive season.

Previous to at the moment, official figures reported a drop within the week-on-week circumstances for 17 days in a row however the downward curve has slowed prior to now three days, dropping by simply 4 per cent on Friday. 

The most recent vaccination figures present that 19,430 first doses had been administered yesterday whereas 42,473 doses had been additionally doled out.

In the meantime, the NHS additionally delivered a complete of 68,795 boosters, in keeping with the most recent figures. 

There have been additionally 75 extra Covid deaths registered yesterday, which marked a 14 per cent fall on the earlier week.

There are at the moment 260 each day Covid deaths in England on common because the fourth wave peaks, in comparison with within the area of 400 from flu in a foul 12 months.

However Dr Nabarro mentioned it was ‘harmful’ to match Covid to flu and assume that there is not going to trigger future surges of the pandemic.

He advised Sky Information: ‘Governments have gotten to set the path and never shrink back from that.

‘All governments all over the place shouldn’t recommend to those who the info have all of the sudden modified, or the viruses all of the sudden acquired extremely weak. 

‘So all I am asking each chief on the earth to do is to assist all people keep centered on the job which is holding this virus at bay, stopping individuals from getting contaminated if in any respect doable, and ensuring that we’re nicely ready to take care of additional surges as they arrive.’ 

However Dr Nabarro mentioned that the top of the pandemic was ‘in sight’.

‘The top is in sight, however how lengthy is it going to take to get there? What kind of difficulties will we face on the way in which? These are the questions that none of us can reply as a result of this virus continues to offer us challenges and surprises.’

He added: ‘It is as if we’re simply passing the midway mark in a marathon and we will see that sure, there may be an finish and quick runners are getting via forward of us.

‘However we have nonetheless acquired an extended, lengthy strategy to trudge and it is going to be robust.

It got here as Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director basic on the WHO, mentioned the world was at a ‘essential juncture’ within the pandemic.

Dr Ghebreyesus urged nations to work collectively and share vaccines and coverings to deliver the acute part of the pandemic to an finish.

He mentioned the world now has all of the instruments obtainable to take action.

‘The Covid pandemic is now coming into its third 12 months and we’re at a essential juncture,’ he advised a press convention at the moment.

‘We should work collectively to deliver the acute part of this pandemic to an finish. We can not let it proceed to tug on, lurching between panic and neglect.’ 

The WHO’s Europe director, Dr Hans Kluge, mentioned he believed the continent was approaching a ‘pandemic endgame’.

As soon as the present surge of Omicron sweeping throughout Europe subsides, ‘there can be for fairly some weeks and months a worldwide immunity, both due to the vaccine or as a result of individuals have immunity as a result of an infection, and likewise reducing seasonality’.

Europe has been stung by a a lot deadlier fourth wave which has seen the return of draconian restrictions in some nations.

The Netherlands launched a full-blown lockdown that solely ended in the midst of this month and France at the moment revealed it can require a vaccine passport for nearly all indoor actions – and a unfavourable take a look at or proof of current an infection will not minimize it anymore.

‘We anticipate that there can be a interval of quiet earlier than Covid might come again in the direction of the top of the 12 months, however not essentially the pandemic coming again,’ Dr Kluge mentioned.

However Kluge cautioned that it was nonetheless too early to think about Covid-19 endemic.

‘There may be lots of discuss endemic however endemic means … that it’s doable to foretell what is going on to occur. This virus has stunned (us) greater than as soon as so we have now to be very cautious,’ Kluge mentioned.

With Omicron spreading so extensively, different variants may nonetheless emerge, he warned.

The WHO regional workplace for Africa additionally mentioned final week that circumstances of Covid had plummeted in that area and deaths had been declining for the primary time for the reason that Omicron-dominated fourth wave of the virus reached its peak.

Final week, Boris Johnson signalled his intention to start out treating Covid extra like flu, telling MPs: ‘There’ll quickly come a time after we can take away the authorized requirement to self-isolate altogether, simply as we do not place authorized obligations on individuals to isolate if they’ve flu.

‘As Covid turns into endemic, we might want to substitute authorized necessities with recommendation and steerage, urging individuals with the virus to watch out and thoughtful of others.’

And Well being Secretary Sajid Javid mentioned that ‘we have to be taught to stay with Covid-19’.

He advised Sky Information: ‘Sadly individuals die of flu as nicely, in a foul flu 12 months you may sadly lose about 20,000 lives however we do not shut down our total nation and put in place a number of restrictions to take care of it. We have to proceed with our lives with wise, applicable and proportionate measures.’



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